Money where your mouth is...INTRADE dynamic very telling
C. Edmund Wright
in Campaign notes
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The INTRADE phenomenon is one of the most telling dynamics in modern polling. (see INTRADE.com for more info). It cuts right through all of the political correctness nonsense and "push polling" perversions and really gets to the heart of the matter...what do you REALLY think and will you back it up with cash.
Even if you are doing a practice trade with the 5 thou in practice cash...you don't want to lose. You will answer with your honest opinion. FURTHER...and this is key...if you don't know diddly about the issue..YOU WON"T PLAY on that issue. These two dynamics make it one of the more reliable surveys going. Obviously it isn't statistically sound, so it's not a good snapshot of the public per se. But it IS an accurate snapshot of the people in the poll...a step ahead of everybody else doing surveys this election cycle.
And what is INTRADE telling us? So far, those results are consistent with what BeatJohnMcCain.com is predicting. Obama will win the nomination and slaughter McCain in the general. The figures on the Dem nomination are in the 70-30 range in favor of B. Hussein Obama....while McCain winning the presidency in a separate poll is a loser...65-35 in round figures.
Which tells me INTRADE is a better place to put your money now than the DOW. With a liberal Republican running against a classic socialist in Obama...free enterprise's best hope is to get on some kind of endangered species list.
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